SHAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHAK - Shake Shack Inc.
$55.52
0.73 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
-13.67%
90d:
-33.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
Get Alerted When SHAK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SHAK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.0% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SHAK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.0% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHAK is currently trading at $55.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.20 to $61.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.3) compared to its historical average (53.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.60, while resistance sits at $65.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.12 (+51.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $51.60, while resistance sits at $65.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.12 (+51.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$54.20 -
$61.53
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.7% below Wall St target ($83.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.20 -
$61.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.60
Resistance Level
$65.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.29
Wall Street Target
$83.13
(+51.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.3 vs 53.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$44.38
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→53)
$58.67
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.3, Growth: 35.1%)
$135.15
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.1%)
$81.12
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 35.1%)
$68.95
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 56.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$93.28
(+70%)
Analyst growth 54.1%, PE expands to 61.8
Base Case
$84.80
(+55%)
Market implied 54.1%, PE stable at 56.2
Bear Case
$37.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.3 to 53.3
Stabilization Target:
$80.48
(+46.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 30, 2026 1:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SHAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephanie Ann Sentell
SELL
258 shares
2026-04-15
Stephanie Ann Sentell
SELL
200 shares
2026-01-20
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-05
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WING
Wingstop Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$233 | 60 BUY |
|
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill I… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$43 | 62 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$86 | 58 HOLD |
|
BROS
Dutch Bros Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$78 | 56 HOLD |
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$399 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced SHAK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SHAK price and gamma walls.
