TripAdvisor (TRIP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TRIP - TripAdvisor, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$8.74
0.02 (0.23%) ▲
5d: +2.58%
30d: -5.31%
90d: -40.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your TRIP Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026 22d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 12, 2026 at $8.70 · last confirmed Oct 13, 2026

Strength: 8.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRIP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.65
9.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRIP is currently trading at $8.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.43 to $9.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.22, while resistance sits at $9.03.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.36 (+52.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $8.43 - $9.01
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.8% below Wall St target ($13.36)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with -7.2% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.43 - $9.01
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.22
Resistance Level $9.03
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.22
Wall Street Target $13.36 (+52.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -32.1%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.0% premium
PE vs Historical 8.2 vs 7.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.00 (+3%)
2-Year Target $9.27 (+6%)
3-Year Target $9.55 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $8.72 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.1%) $43.40 (+397%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 27.1%) $17.96 (+106%)
Bear: (PE: 7.0, Growth: 27.1%) $15.27 (+75%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 6.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.29
Bull Case $10.53 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.1
Base Case $8.72 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case $6.67 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 13, 2026 5:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:24 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TRIP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRIP price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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