BBY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBY - Best Buy Company, Inc.
$85.89
0.16 (0.19%)
â˛
5d:
-0.61%
30d:
+1.73%
90d:
+40.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 13, 2026 at $85.52 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BBY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BBY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.65
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBY is currently trading at $85.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.16 to $87.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $81.67, while resistance sits at $90.25.
Market Sentiment: BBY scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $81.67, while resistance sits at $90.25.
Market Sentiment: BBY scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$83.16 -
$87.72
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BBY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($82.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.16 -
$87.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.67
Resistance Level
$90.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.92
Wall Street Target
$82.75
(-3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.9%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 10.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.73
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$97.97
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$104.63
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.4%)
$156.28
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 5.4%)
$100.61
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 5.4%)
$82.54
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.19
Bull Case
$120.79
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.1%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$109.81
(+28%)
Market implied 28.1%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$58.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason J Bonfig
SELL
6336 shares
2026-03-23
Kathleen Scarlett
SELL
8049 shares
2026-03-23
Mathew Watson
SELL
3298 shares
2026-03-23
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Advanced BBY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBY price and gamma walls.
