BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$97.78
-0.67 (-0.68%)
▼
5d:
+5.21%
30d:
+12.96%
90d:
+4.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BJ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.72
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $97.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.34 to $93.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $100.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BJ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$86.34 -
$93.74
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.35)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 9.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.34 -
$93.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.70
Resistance Level
$100.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.99
Wall Street Target
$102.35
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.86
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$99.94
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$101.04
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 6.7%)
$118.75
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.7%)
$117.31
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 6.7%)
$99.71
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.28
Bull Case
$117.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$107.18
(+10%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$66.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
SELL
2050 shares
2026-04-15
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-03-05
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