BJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJ - BJs Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$96.42
5.12 (5.61%)
â˛
5d:
+3.22%
30d:
+5.62%
90d:
+2.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BJ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.72
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJ is currently trading at $96.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.60 to $96.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$91.60 -
$96.90
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.95)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 9.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.60 -
$96.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.22
Resistance Level
$97.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.69
Wall Street Target
$102.95
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.09
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$97.77
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$98.46
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.7%)
$117.10
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$113.57
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 6.7%)
$96.53
(+0%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.33
Bull Case
$108.07
(+12%)
Analyst growth 7.6%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$98.25
(+2%)
Market implied 7.6%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$62.08
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert W Eddy
SELL
8000 shares
2026-04-15
Joseph Mcgrail
SELL
2050 shares
2026-04-15
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-03-05
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