RVLV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RVLV - Revolve Group, Inc.

RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES
$24.27
-0.36 (-1.46%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.35%
30d: +4.93%
90d: +19.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: RVLV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.10
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.14
7.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RVLV is currently trading at $24.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.28 to $25.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.6) is in line with its historical norms (24.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RVLV is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $24.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RVLV scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.69 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $23.28 - $25.87
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($29.69)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.28 - $25.87
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $24.17
Resistance Level $27.34
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.63
Wall Street Target $29.69 (+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 82.5%
Profit Margin 5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.6 vs 24.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.69 (-2%)
2-Year Target $23.12 (-5%)
3-Year Target $22.56 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→24) $24.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.6, Growth: 16.3%) $38.14 (+57%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.3%) $34.09 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 16.3%) $28.98 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case $29.35 (+21%)
Analyst growth 8.3%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case $26.68 (+10%)
Market implied 8.3%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case $16.75 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 24.3
Stabilization Target: $26.06 (+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.4%
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Last updated: August 09, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Mente SELL 15972 shares 2026-04-09
Michael Karanikolas SELL 1948 shares 2026-02-12
Michael Mente SELL 15645 shares 2026-02-11

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Advanced RVLV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RVLV price and gamma walls.

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