QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$165.52
2.44 (1.50%)
▲
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
-7.0%
90d:
-22.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $167.86 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
Get Alerted When QCOM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCOM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCOM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.63
Based on 0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $165.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $158.05 to $181.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QCOM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.77 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $168.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QCOM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $194.77 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$158.05 -
$181.05
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($194.77)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with -4.0% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$158.05 -
$181.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$142.89
Resistance Level
$168.87
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.89
Wall Street Target
$194.77
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.33
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$169.66
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$173.05
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$163.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -2.5%)
$192.37
(+18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: -2.5%)
$151.06
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: -2.5%)
$128.40
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.76
Bull Case
$209.69
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$190.63
(+17%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$110.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 1:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Akash J Palkhiwala
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-13
Patricia Y Grech
SELL
85 shares
2026-04-02
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Featured in Portfolios
QCOM is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$311 | 72 BUY |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$1508 | 55 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$613 | 61 BUY |
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$528 | 41 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$257 | 41 HOLD |
Advanced QCOM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QCOM price and gamma walls.
