INTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INTU - Intuit Inc
$296.33
14.80 (5.26%)
▲
5d:
+1.8%
30d:
+13.0%
90d:
-22.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
24d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$719.99
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$447.06
33.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $296.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $264.24 to $287.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $302.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.53 (+64.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $302.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.53 (+64.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$264.24 -
$287.70
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.3% below Wall St target ($462.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$264.24 -
$287.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$271.70
Resistance Level
$302.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$462.53
(+64.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
21.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 16.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$253.38
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$228.04
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$205.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→17)
$336.71
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$863.58
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 14.7%)
$424.62
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$360.92
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.38
Bull Case
$522.11
(+76%)
Analyst growth 66.9%, PE expands to 19.1
Base Case
$474.64
(+60%)
Market implied 66.9%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case
$193.44
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 16.9
Stabilization Target:
$461.88
(+64.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+64.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 26, 2026 4:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-12
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-10
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