MSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSTR - Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
$100.01
3.16 (3.26%)
▲
5d:
+7.21%
30d:
+6.52%
90d:
-44.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MSTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MSTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.17
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSTR is currently trading at $100.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.65 to $99.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.2) compared to its historical average (6.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 45.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.21, while resistance sits at $105.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $257.50 (+157.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.21, while resistance sits at $105.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MSTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $257.50 (+157.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$92.65 -
$99.23
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MSTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 157.5% below Wall St target ($257.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 45.6% growth with 6.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$92.65 -
$99.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.21
Resistance Level
$105.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.24
Wall Street Target
$257.50
(+157.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+45.6% premium
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 6.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+45.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.61
(+46%)
2-Year Target
$212.01
(+112%)
3-Year Target
$308.69
(+209%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$99.50
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 5:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-21
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-20
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Advanced MSTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MSTR price and gamma walls.
