MSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSTR - Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
$94.85
0.82 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
+0.22%
30d:
-22.77%
90d:
-36.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
11d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MSTR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.92
Based on -22.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSTR is currently trading at $94.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.86 to $116.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (5.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 22.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $90.02, while resistance sits at $104.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.64 (+220.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $90.02, while resistance sits at $104.78.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.64 (+220.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$89.86 -
$116.72
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 220.1% below Wall St target ($303.64)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 22.2% growth with 11.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.86 -
$116.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.02
Resistance Level
$104.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.81
Wall Street Target
$303.64
(+220.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+22.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 5.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+22.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.91
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$141.64
(+49%)
3-Year Target
$173.08
(+83%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: -48.0%)
$134.38
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: -48.0%)
$69.15
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: -48.0%)
$37.74
(-60%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-21
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-20
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MSTR price and gamma walls.
