SEMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SEMR - SEMrush Holdings, Inc.
$12.00
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
+0.59%
90d:
+0.76%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SEMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SEMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.79
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SEMR is currently trading at $12.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SEMR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SEMR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
73.8%
Protect Your Profits
SEMR is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.94
Resistance Level
$12.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.97
Wall Street Target
$12.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.3%
Profit Margin
-4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 26.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.50
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.01
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.55
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$11.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 28.7%)
$25.58
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 28.7%)
$22.95
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 28.7%)
$19.51
(+63%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 26.1
Stabilization Target:
$13.64
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 2:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SEMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eugenie Levin
SELL
404249 shares
2026-03-13
Oleg Shchegolev
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-09
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Advanced SEMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SEMR price and gamma walls.
